After a Darwinian struggle, Internet news will be the only news medium to survive. Soon. 8/17/07Posted by Steve Boriss in Uncategorized.
According to Darwinian theory, only the fittest survive. But how can this principle be applied to today’s news when all media seem “fittest” in their own way? Newspapers are comfortable to read, great for delivering text, and can be read anywhere. TV news is comfortable to watch, great for delivering audio and video, and provides fresh news. Internet news excels at delivering text and audio (is only so-so for video), offers an enormous selection, and provides news on-demand.
These distinct advantages might satisfy the skeptics who doubt that all news will converge onto the Internet, and scoff at the possibility that all outlets might someday be competing directly against each other whether they now churn-out newspapers, TV news, or Internet news. But, for every advantage newspapers and TV now have, there are technological solutions on the horizon that will eliminate each one of them — and soon.
Regarding the current advantages of newspapers vs. the Internet, the text on electronic devices will ultimately have higher resolution and will be more readable than what comes off the presses, and it will be backlit to boot. Moreover, when e-paper is commercially available, a screen with the thickness of one sheet of paper, and rollable, will deliver video, not just text. Regarding the current advantages of TV news, it’s not hard to imagine ways that “the last 50 feet” between household TV’s and PC’s can be bridged so that Internet content can be delivered on large TV monitors facing comfortable furniture. And ultimately, the transmission of video over broadband will reach acceptable speeds, possibly equal to those of broadcast/cable transmissions.
The final meteor strike will be the broadcast of high-speed Internet signals from cell towers (e.g. “WiMAX”), making web-based news available anywhere, even when mobile. That will be the decisive blow for newspapers and TV news, modern day dinosaurs on the brink of extinction.